How to Predict a Hurricane
Hurricane predictions can be classified as two different categories. One, Seasonal probabilities and two, the track of a current hurricane. These two categories are completely different and use different methods and approaches.
NASA states the following about tracking hurricanes, “The forecast of a hurricane's path is dependent upon the accuracy of the predicted winds from computer forecast models. The speed and direction of steering winds generally vary with altitude. Weak tropical cyclones tend to be steered more by lower-level winds, while upper-level winds usually influence the paths of stronger hurricanes.”
Where do they form? Hurricanes form over the Atlantic Ocean or eastern Pacific Ocean. They only form over warm waters near the equator.
There’s no need to predict a hurricane on your own. Your local weather news station will warn locals about an upcoming hurricane so that you can time to prepare and evacuate.